well yesterday's NCAA sucked.  I watched most of the games and feel like with the exception of Texas I was on the right side for most of the games, which is good.  Now time for NFL, which is where our bread is buttered.  Remember my rules.

 

1) Never take any team who more than 60% of the teams on Wagerline like.

2) Always look to favor underdogs.

3) Never take the Bears over or Colts Under.

4) If all of your friends like one team, take the other.

 

Before I start, here is the latest update from Wagerline.

 

Time (ET)	Away	Line	Picks	Pct	Home	Line	Picks	Pct	View
1:00 PM	Atlanta	+4.5	1239	31.01%	Carolina	-4.5	2757	68.99%	Detail
1:00 PM	Buffalo	+10	1226	32.07%	New England	-10	2597	67.93%	Detail
1:00 PM	N.Y. Jets	+2.5	1295	34.5%	Tennessee	-2.5	2459	65.5%	Detail
4:15 PM	San Francisco	+9	1352	37.17%	Arizona	-9	2285	62.83%	Detail
1:00 PM	Baltimore	+3	1583	41.52%	Tampa Bay	-3	2230	58.48%	Detail
1:00 PM	New Orleans	+3	1682	45.05%	Cleveland	-3	2052	54.95%	Detail
4:15 PM	Dallas	-1	2505	62.84%	Jacksonville	+1	1481	37.16%	Detail
8:15 PM	Indianapolis	-3	2630	66.21%	N.Y. Giants	+3	1342	33.79%	Detail
4:15 PM	Chicago	-3.5	2772	70.55%	Green Bay	+3.5	1157	29.45%	Detail
1:00 PM	Denver	-3.5	2845	72.91%	St. Louis	+3.5	1057	27.09%	Detail
1:00 PM	Philadelphia	-6	2949	73.76%	Houston	+6	1049	26.24%	Detail
1:00 PM	Cincinnati	+1	3099	74.07%	Kansas City	-1	1085	25.93%	Detail
1:00 PM	Seattle	-6.5	3246	78.42%	Detroit	+6.5	893	21.58%	Detail

 

Detroit +6.5 over Seattle.  The #1 play from Wagerline usually looks good.   I actually kinda like Detroit this year.  Mike Martxz can score points and Detroit has a pretty big home field advantage early in the year before the fans give up.  Plus Jon Kitna can succeed in this style of offense.  Best pick

 

Houston +6.  Almost same logic as the game above.  David Carr gets a new coordinator and everyone is counting on Philly to recover.  Plus home field advantage in week one is usually bigger than most other weeks.

 

So there you go.  If I didn't have my Bears rule, I would also be taking the Packers as well.